Bon Air Longterm Crime Study 2004-2020 #2 Reports by Month and Weekday.

 

This is the second of a long-term study of the police reports in the Bon Air Neighborhood between 2004 and 2020.  It is sifted from https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports.   

All reports are for the 6th District within the boundaries of 

1) Bardstown Road on the West  
2) Hikes Lane on the South
3) Furman Blvd on the East and
4) Taylorsville Rd and the Watterson Expressway on the North. 

The data is in the form of CSV files, easily read by Microsoft Excel.  The CSV files were then loaded in the JASP software, which is an open-source statistical package. 

Today I am looking at the crime reports by month and weekday in the neighborhood. I regret to say that there is nothing "dramatic" in trends, but some stuff that is noticeable.  Let's get after it. 

For the record here is a frequency table. The months are listed alphabetically.  

Bon Air Police Reports by the Month 2004-2020

Binomial Test
Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
Month		April		1156		13824		0.084		< .001
		August		1280		13824		0.093		< .001
		December		1049		13824		0.076		< .001
		February		1018		13824		0.074		< .001
		January		1097		13824		0.079		< .001
		July		1235		13824		0.089		< .001
		June		1119		13824		0.081		< .001
		March		1206		13824		0.087		< .001
		May		1160		13824		0.084		< .001
		November		1117		13824		0.081		< .001
		October		1215		13824		0.088		< .001
		September		1172		13824		0.085		< .001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

This line graph is a little more educational. 

August is the month with the most reports (N=1280) with 9.3 percent while February has the fewest with (N=1018) or 7.4 percent.  That is a difference of 262 reports.  I would say the weather does make a difference. 

Now to the consideration of the weekday.  Here is a frequency table . . .

Bon Air Police Reports by the Weekday 2004-2020

Binomial Test
Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
Weekday		Friday		2045		13824		0.148		< .001
		Monday		2028		13824		0.147		< .001
		Saturday		1783		13824		0.129		< .001
		Sunday		1571		13824		0.114		< .001
		Thursday		2172		13824		0.157		< .001
		Tuesday		2116		13824		0.153		< .001
		Wednesday		2109		13824		0.153		< .001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

Here is a little more educational histogram chart. 

Oddly by a slim margin, Thursday is the day of the week with the most police reports at 15.7 percent while Sunday at the fewest reports with 12.9 percent. The histogram paints that more police reports are made during the weekdays than on weekends. 

It would seem that the Monday reports are catch-up days from Sunday when businesses are opening and counting the damage from weekends, but the peak of Thursday reports would suggest that is not the case. I imagine as I go along, there will be some kind of answer.   It also serves to mention again, that I left the "other" category in this database whereas I have typically taken it out of the month analyses because I did not feel it appropriate to keep track of how many runaways Boys and Girls Haven has on a regular basis, especially since they have a high frequency..  

We otherwise do not have any attractions that draw weekend crowds like the notorious or infamous Toy Tiger that I had heard so much.  That would seem to make the weekends quieter. 

Next time, I will look at the crime reports by the different zones as demarcated by the now-defunct Department of Neighborhoods between 2004 and 2008.  The demarcations were political and by census tract. 

I want to close again with a pitch to encourage you to consider supporting and joining the Bon Air Neighborhood Association. We are an organization organized in 2008 to advocate for the neighborhood.   We have some wonderful things that we are working on that will help improve the neighborhood. 

The annual dues are $20.00 a year per household, and you do not have to live within the boundaries as originally set by the Department of Neighborhoods. We changed our bylaws in 2019 to allow people with an interest in our organization. You can send your membership fee to PO Box 34262 Louisville, KY 40201.   (Sorry, we are unable to do the electronic banking options like venmo and zelle and Paypal.)