It is a Microsoft Excel CSV file that required some manipulation and sorting and beginning this year it was loaded into JASP, which is an open-source statistical package. This analysis does include events that happen on the edge of the neighborhood.
As usual, it includes the crimes reported within the boundaries of the historical Bon Air Neighborhood as defined:1) Bardstown Road on the West 2) Hikes Lane on the South3) Furman Blvd on the East and4) Taylorsville Rd and the Watterson Expressway on the North.
The Analysis reflects events that happen on the lines and so some of the reports reflect what has happened just on the line and outside the geopolitical boundary of the neighborhood.
There were 51 reports made by LMPD, down from the 53 in June. There were the usual trends, but it was significant that the Highgate Springs zone had an increase in reports.
Here are the usual breakdowns.
- The 40218 area and the Bon Air zone had the higher number of reports.
Crime
Reports by Zip Code
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
ZIP_CODE
|
|
40218
|
|
36
|
|
51
|
|
0.706
|
|
0.005
|
|
|
|
|
40220
|
|
15
|
|
51
|
|
0.294
|
|
0.005
|
|
|
|
Crime Reports by Zone
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
Zone
|
|
Bon Air
|
|
34
|
|
51
|
|
0.667
|
|
0.024
|
|
|
|
|
Bon Air Estates
|
|
1
|
|
51
|
|
0.020
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
Highgate Springs
|
|
16
|
|
51
|
|
0.314
|
|
0.011
|
|
|
|
|
|
But again the Highgate Springs had a higher number percentage of cases. This is not the highest number of cases this year as January had 17 reports, but there were
- 9 reports in June
- 13 reports in May
- 12 reports in April
- 9 reports in March
- 14 reports in February
I think that it is due to an increase in thefts/larcenies in that zone.
Thefts/Larcenies in Highgate
Springs
|
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
BLOCK_ADDRESS
|
|
2800 BLOCK HIKES LN
|
|
1
|
|
5
|
|
0.200
|
|
0.375
|
|
|
|
|
2900 BLOCK HIKES LN
|
|
1
|
|
5
|
|
0.200
|
|
0.375
|
|
|
|
|
3000 BLOCK FURMAN BLVD
|
|
2
|
|
5
|
|
0.400
|
|
1.000
|
|
|
|
|
3600 BLOCK STANTON BLVD
|
|
1
|
|
5
|
|
0.200
|
|
0.375
|
|
Otherwise, for the whole neighborhood, it was a multi-modal trend in the number of reports by weekday in that Mondays and Thursdays had the most reports.
 |
| Crime Reports by weekday |
With regard to overall crime reports, assaults were the most common.

Here is a table for those of you who like clear numbers:
|
Reports by Crime Type
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
CRIME_TYPE
|
|
ASSAULT
|
|
13
|
|
51
|
|
0.255
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
BURGLARY
|
|
1
|
|
51
|
|
0.020
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
DISTURBING THE PEACE
|
|
1
|
|
51
|
|
0.020
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
FRAUD
|
|
1
|
|
51
|
|
0.020
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
|
|
1
|
|
51
|
|
0.020
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
OTHER
|
|
11
|
|
51
|
|
0.216
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
ROBBERY
|
|
2
|
|
51
|
|
0.039
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
THEFT/LARCENY
|
|
10
|
|
51
|
|
0.196
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
VANDALISM
|
|
5
|
|
51
|
|
0.098
|
|
< .001
|
|
|
|
|
VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT
|
|
6
|
|
51
|
|
0.118
|
|
< .001
|
|
The assaults happened throughout the neighborhood, but mostly at 3300 Bardstown.
Location of Assaults
|
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
BLOCK_ADDRESS
|
|
2200 BLOCK HEATHER LN
|
|
1
|
|
13
|
|
0.077
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
|
|
2300 BLOCK TERRIER CT
|
|
2
|
|
13
|
|
0.154
|
|
0.022
|
|
|
|
|
2900 BLOCK HIKES LN
|
|
1
|
|
13
|
|
0.077
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
|
|
2900 BLOCK RIO RITA AVE
|
|
1
|
|
13
|
|
0.077
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
|
|
3000 BLOCK RADIANCE RD
|
|
1
|
|
13
|
|
0.077
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
|
|
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
|
|
5
|
|
13
|
|
0.385
|
|
0.581
|
|
|
|
|
3300 BLOCK NOE WAY
|
|
1
|
|
13
|
|
0.077
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
|
|
I264E AT BARDSTOWN RD
|
|
1
|
|
13
|
|
0.077
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
|
|
The larcenies were the next most common report.
Location of Thefts/Larcenies
|
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
BLOCK_ADDRESS
|
|
2800 BLOCK HIKES LN
|
|
1
|
|
10
|
|
0.100
|
|
0.021
|
|
|
|
|
2900 BLOCK HIKES LN
|
|
1
|
|
10
|
|
0.100
|
|
0.021
|
|
|
|
|
3000 BLOCK FURMAN BLVD
|
|
2
|
|
10
|
|
0.200
|
|
0.109
|
|
|
|
|
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
|
|
3
|
|
10
|
|
0.300
|
|
0.344
|
|
|
|
|
3300 BLOCK WELLINGMOOR AVE
|
|
1
|
|
10
|
|
0.100
|
|
0.021
|
|
|
|
|
3600 BLOCK STANTON BLVD
|
|
1
|
|
10
|
|
0.100
|
|
0.021
|
|
|
|
|
3700 BLOCK MINA TER
|
|
1
|
|
10
|
|
0.100
|
|
0.021
|
|
There were 10 "Other" reports. These were what they were.
|
|
Other Crime reports
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
UOR_DESC
|
|
DOMESTIC ABUSE DUTIES OF LAW
ENFORCEMENT
|
|
2
|
|
11
|
|
0.182
|
|
0.065
|
|
|
|
|
LEAVING SCENE OF
ACCIDENT/FAILURE TO RENDER AID OR ASSISTANCE
|
|
3
|
|
11
|
|
0.273
|
|
0.227
|
|
|
|
|
MISSING PERSONS
|
|
5
|
|
11
|
|
0.455
|
|
1.000
|
|
|
|
|
RECOVERY OF STOLEN PROPERTY
|
|
1
|
|
11
|
|
0.091
|
|
0.012
|
|
|
|
|
|
The missing person reports as usual were at 2300 Goldsmith Lane.
We are always interested in car break-ins and car thefts.
Location of Car Break-Ins/Thefts
|
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
BLOCK_ADDRESS
|
|
2200 BLOCK HEATHER LN
|
|
2
|
|
7
|
|
0.286
|
|
0.453
|
|
|
|
|
2300 BLOCK TERRIER CT
|
|
1
|
|
7
|
|
0.143
|
|
0.125
|
|
|
|
|
3000 BLOCK WEDGEWOOD WAY
|
|
2
|
|
7
|
|
0.286
|
|
0.453
|
|
|
|
|
3400 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
|
|
2
|
|
7
|
|
0.286
|
|
0.453
|
|
|
|
|
The report at 2300 block of Terrier was the actual theft of a car. The other three locations were two reports at the same time that included taking the car tags in addition to breaking into the cars.
As usual, the 3300 block of Bardstown was the location with the most reports with 23.5 percent.
Crime Reports at 3300 Bardstown
Rd
|
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
CRIME_TYPE
|
|
ASSAULT
|
|
5
|
|
12
|
|
0.417
|
|
0.774
|
|
|
|
|
DISTURBING THE PEACE
|
|
1
|
|
12
|
|
0.083
|
|
0.006
|
|
|
|
|
OTHER
|
|
2
|
|
12
|
|
0.167
|
|
0.039
|
|
|
|
|
THEFT/LARCENY
|
|
3
|
|
12
|
|
0.250
|
|
0.146
|
|
|
|
|
VANDALISM
|
|
1
|
|
12
|
|
0.083
|
|
0.006
|
|
Here are the premises of the reports
Premises of Crime Reports at
3300 Bardstown Rd
|
|
|
Variable
|
Level
|
Counts
|
Total
|
Proportion
|
p
|
|
PREMISE_TYPE
|
|
CONVENIENCE STORE
|
|
1
|
|
12
|
|
0.083
|
|
0.006
|
|
|
|
|
HIGHWAY / ROAD / ALLEY
|
|
1
|
|
12
|
|
0.083
|
|
0.006
|
|
|
|
|
HOTEL / MOTEL / ETC.
|
|
3
|
|
12
|
|
0.250
|
|
0.146
|
|
|
|
|
OTHER / UNKNOWN
|
|
1
|
|
12
|
|
0.083
|
|
0.006
|
|
|
|
|
OTHER RESIDENCE
(APARTMENT/CONDO)
|
|
3
|
|
12
|
|
0.250
|
|
0.146
|
|
|
|
|
PARKING LOT / GARAGE
|
|
3
|
|
12
|
|
0.250
|
|
0.146
|
|
The hotel/motel had 1) a domestic violence call, 2) an assault call and 3) a theft/larceny call. They happened on different days.
Other notes:
- There was one burglary from a garage at 2800 Hikes Lane.
- There was one robbery report at 3100 Wedgewood Way, by or in Farnsley Park on 7/19/2021. It looks like it was an attempted robbery.
- At 2300 Terrier Lane, where there was a murder back in May, besides the car theft there was a domestic violence call and a report of an assault. They happened at different times/dates.
Otherwise, I want to remind you that Seneca High School will be open for real in a few weeks. There has been a trend to see increased car thefts in the morning when people are warming up their vehicles and leaving the doors open.
I also hope you join one of the neighborhood associations in your zone but regardless you are welcome to join the Bon Air Neighborhood Association.
The Bon Air Neighborhood Association definitely could use your support.
The annual dues of the Bon Air Neighborhood Association are $20.00 and you do not have to live within the boundaries as originally set by the Department of Neighborhoods. We changed our bylaws in 2019 to allow anyone with an interest in our organization to join.
You can send your membership fee to PO Box 34262 Louisville, KY 40201. Or you can pay your dues and join by Paypal by clicking here.