The Bon Air Observer

Wednesday, October 13, 2021

Bon Air Crime Analysis for September 2021, Overall number was same, what happened changed

This is an analysis for September 2021 based on open data posted by the Louisville Metro Police Department at https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports

It is a Microsoft Excel CSV file that required some manipulation and sorting and beginning this year it was loaded into JASP, which is an open-source statistical package. This analysis does include events that happen on the edge of the neighborhood.

As usual, it includes the crimes reported within the boundaries of the historical Bon Air Neighborhood as defined:
1) Bardstown Road on the West
2) Hikes Lane on the South
3) Furman Blvd on the East and
4) Taylorsville Rd and the Watterson Expressway on the North.

The Analysis reflects events that happen on the lines and so some of the reports reflect what has happened just on the line and outside the geopolitical boundary of the neighborhood. The limits of this analysis also include that it is limited to what LMPD actually puts on this report.

There were 68 total reports--the same number as in August. What happened within those 68 reports.

There are some usual numbers. The 40218 and Bon Air zones have more reports.

By Zip Code
Variable		Level	Counts	Total		Proportion			p
ZIP_CODE		40218	48	68		0.706			< .001
		40220	20	68		0.294			< .001


Zone
Variable	Level				Counts		Total	Proportion		p
Zone	Bon Air				61		68	0.897		< .001
	Highgate Springs				7		68	0.103		< .001

The theme of shifting comes in here as the 40220 zone had 10 fewer reports than last month. The Highgate Springs zone had two fewer reports.

Most reports happened in the middle of the week on Wednesdays.

By Weekday
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
Weekday	Friday	3	68	0.044	< .001
	Monday	12	68	0.176	< .001
	Saturday	11	68	0.162	< .001
	Sunday	9	68	0.132	< .001
	Thursday	11	68	0.162	< .001
	Tuesday	7	68	0.103	< .001
	Wednesday	15	68	0.221	< .001

With regard to types of crimes, assault again was again the most reported. There were eight more of them this month; August had 15.

By Crime Type


Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
CRIME_TYPE	ASSAULT	23	68	0.338	0.010
	BURGLARY	4	68	0.059	< .001
	DISTURBING THE PEACE	3	68	0.044	< .001
	DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS	2	68	0.029	< .001
	FRAUD	1	68	0.015	< .001
	MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT	3	68	0.044	< .001
	OTHER	11	68	0.162	< .001
	ROBBERY	2	68	0.029	< .001
	THEFT/LARCENY	5	68	0.074	< .001
	VANDALISM	10	68	0.147	< .001
	VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT	4	68	0.059	< .001

There were eight more assaults than last month, and here are where they took place:

Addresses of the Assaults


Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
BLOCK_ADDRESS	2300 BLOCK TERRIER CT	1	23	0.043	< .001
	2500 BLOCK FUREEN DR	1	23	0.043	< .001
	2800 BLOCK DEL RIO PL	2	23	0.087	< .001
	3000 BLOCK ROSEDALE BLVD	1	23	0.043	< .001
	3100 BLOCK TALISMAN RD	1	23	0.043	< .001
	3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	7	23	0.304	0.093
	3300 BLOCK GOLDSMITH LN	1	23	0.043	< .001
	3400 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	2	23	0.087	< .001
	3400 BLOCK TERRIER LN	1	23	0.043	< .001
	3500 BLOCK LISBON LN	2	23	0.087	< .001
	3600 BLOCK GOLDSMITH LN	1	23	0.043	< .001
	3600 BLOCK GREEN MEADOWS DR	1	23	0.043	< .001
	3700 BLOCK MINA TER	2	23	0.087	< .001

The "other" crimes were the next highest reported. There were actually five less than last month. They were as follows:

The "Other" Police Reports

Variable

Level

Counts

Total

Proportion

UOR_DESC

DEATH INVESTIGATION (OVERDOSE)

0.182

0.065

DOMESTIC ABUSE DUTIES OF LAW ENFORCEMENT

0.273

0.227

LEAVING SCENE OF ACCIDENT/FAILURE TO RENDER AID OR ASSISTANC

0.273

0.227

MISSING PERSONS

0.273

0.227

Note. Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The two overdoses were two separate investigations on 9/17/2021 at the hotel/motel.

The third highest category was vandalism. There were five more reports than last month. Here is where vandalism was reported.

The Vandalism Report Locations

Variable

Level

Counts

Total

Proportion

BLOCK_ADDRESS

2800 BLOCK DEL RIO PL

0.100

0.021

3100 BLOCK ROSEDALE BLVD

0.100

0.021

3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD

0.100

0.021

3400 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD

0.200

0.109

3600 BLOCK GOLDSMITH LN

0.300

0.344

3600 BLOCK GREEN MEADOWS DR

0.100

0.021

3600 BLOCK STANTON BLVD

0.100

0.021

I will add here that there has been an active "tagger" marking everything with "bloke." I am seeing outside of the neighborhood. It is a British slang word for "a man." Furthermore, if you Google it, there are some hits for some renowned graffiti artist in New York City who goes by "Bloke." I doubt we are being graced by this particular artist, but probably a wannabe.

Otherwise, because we are primarily a residential neighborhood, we have concerns about burglaries and car break-ins. The following tables showed where they are.

The Burglary Locations
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
BLOCK_ADDRESS	2200 BLOCK HIKES LN	1	4	0.250	0.625
	3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	1	4	0.250	0.625
	3400 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	1	4	0.250	0.625
	3700 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	1	4	0.250	0.625

The Car Theft/Break-in locations

Variable

Level

Counts

Total

Proportion

BLOCK_ADDRESS

2200 BLOCK HEATHER LN

0.250

0.625

2800 BLOCK FLORA AVE

0.250

0.625

3400 BLOCK ROWENA RD

0.250

0.625

3400 BLOCK TERRIER LN

0.250

0.625

The significant or maybe good news is that the burglaries were around the boundaries of the neighborhood and not inside the neighborhood. All the car-related crimes were break-ins and not actual car thefts.

Usual Focus on 3300 Bardstown Rd

Our usual, notorious site of the crime reports is 3300 Bardstown Rd. It had 12 fewer reports than last month, but had almost one-fifth of the reports.

Police Reports at 3300 Bardstown Rd
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
CRIME_TYPE	ASSAULT	7	14	0.500	1.000
	BURGLARY	1	14	0.071	0.002
	DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS	1	14	0.071	0.002
	FRAUD	1	14	0.071	0.002
	OTHER	3	14	0.214	0.057
	VANDALISM	1	14	0.071	0.002

The hotel had five of the reports.

What happened at the Hotel/Motel?
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
CRIME_TYPE	ASSAULT	2	5	0.400	1.000
	OTHER	3	5	0.600	1.000

As noted in the discussion of the "other" category two of the reports were drug overdose deaths. The one other "other" report was for domestic violence.

Tying it Together

So, there was the same number of police reports. There were more assaults, few other "other" reports, fewer theft/larcenies but more vandalism events. On the other hand, the numbers say we as a neighborhood are doing a decent job as a whole at crime prevention.

Concluding thoughts

The Bon Air Neighborhood Association definitely could use your support. We seek to be an effective advocate for the neighborhood and are excited that our product of the Farnsley Park stage is coming to fruition, but our work is far from done. We would love your interest and involvement.

We have begun to meet in person again. We meet on the second Monday of the month. Our next meeting will be in the community room of the Bon Air Library on November 8, 2021, at 6:30pm.

The annual dues of the Bon Air Neighborhood Association are $20.00 and you do not have to live within the boundaries as originally set by the Department of Neighborhoods. We changed our bylaws in 2019 to allow anyone with an interest in our organization to join.

You can send your membership fee to PO Box 34262 Louisville, KY 40201. Or you can pay your dues and join by Paypal by clicking here.

https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=PBPSRSBFU52D8

Thursday, September 16, 2021

Q and A about Houseless Individuals with LMPD Officer Robert Yosh, LMPD Homeless Engagement.

This was an email Q and A with Officer Robert “Yoshi” Yoshioka of the Louisville Metro Police Department Mobile Response Unit – Homeless Engagement. He was unable to come to the Bon Air Neighborhood Association meeting on Monday. He did answer some questions by email. His answers are in italics.

1. Who is making up the homeless who are camping and dwelling within the Bon Air Neighborhood.

The 3 largest groups would be individuals who have mental health issues, drug issues, or a combination of the two. There is a very small number of people who have had a run of bad luck. There is also a much smaller number of people who choose to live the way they do.

2. What is being done about this/for them.

The city's RCS office coordinates other city offices and some non-profit groups to try to get services to these people and to coordinate “cleans” and “clears”

A lot of the services provided to the houseless are provided by private non-profit groups. Some receive financial backing from the city and others are from private donations. The services include Mental health, drug rehab, saving sex-trafficked children, young adult services, Veterans assistance, houseless pet assistance, housing assistance, food, and immediate needs.

LMPDs Homeless Mobile Response Unit has 2 officers (me and Ofc. Morrison) We coordinate with the city and non-profit groups to insure that service providers are safe when they go out and to insure that houseless individuals have access to services such as mental health, drug rehab, and police services.

3. Should you be giving money to the homeless/panhandlers in the neighborhood?

Probably not. Panhandling is not against the law as the Kentucky Supreme Court ruled that flying a sign is a 1^st amendment right. It does however create dangerous situations for traffic and pedestrians. The off-and-on ramps are a prime spot because people make the most money there. You also don’t know if a person standing out there is in fact homeless or just collecting extra money for themselves.

4. Where should we be referring these people to?

Unfortunately, there is no one place that fixes everything. It usually takes someone to make contact with an individual to find out what a person really needs. If you see a homeless camp please call in a 311 call. This will be routed through RCS and to us. This will also then reach services providers.

5. What can we do to be more supportive of the official efforts?

For right now calling in 311 reports is very helpful. I would also watch the cities 4 step plan that they just announced to see if any help can be provided when those plans move forward.

Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Coming in 2022: The Farnsley Park Stage!

Plans are in the works for a performance stage in Farnsley Park. Construction is expected to start in 2022. It will be a pavilion/amphitheater style.

It will be at the northeast corner of the soccer field by the existing bathrooms, by Wedgewood Way.

The stage will be handicapped accessible.

The stage is intended to be a venue for the public performance of plays, family-friendly concerts, and use by organizations for ceremonies and outdoor church services.

Construction will be funded out of neighborhood development funds/municipal funds. District 26 Brent Ackerson has announced that he will budget the funds for the stage.

The stage is the first part of the Bon Air Neighborhood Association's arts development strategy. Besides the stage includes the development of public art/statuary and a potential art hall within the Bon Air Library.

Sunday, September 12, 2021

Bon Air Crime Analysis for August 2021 Up 33 percent in total reports from July

This is an analysis for August 2021 based on data posted by the Louisville Metro Police Department at https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports

There were 68 total reports, up from the 51 in July. I'll run through the numbers and then do the comparisons.

There are some usual numbers. The 40218 and Bon Air zones have more reports.

By Zip Code

Variable

Level

Counts

Total

Proportion

ZIP_CODE

40218

0.750

< .001

40220

0.250

< .001

By Zone
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
Zone	Bon Air	59	68	0.868	< .001
	Highgate Springs	9	68	0.132	< .001

The most frequent type of report was assaults:

By Crime Type
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
CRIME_TYPE	ASSAULT	15	68	0.221	< .001
	BURGLARY	3	68	0.044	< .001
	DISTURBING THE PEACE	2	68	0.029	< .001
	DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS	3	68	0.044	< .001
	FRAUD	6	68	0.088	< .001
	MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT	3	68	0.044	< .001
	OTHER	16	68	0.235	< .001
	ROBBERY	2	68	0.029	< .001
	THEFT/LARCENY	11	68	0.162	< .001
	VANDALISM	5	68	0.074	< .001
	VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT	1	68	0.015	< .001
	WEAPONS	1	68	0.015	< .001

The Assaults were in the following locations:

Where The Assaults were?
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
BLOCK_ADDRESS	2200 BLOCK GERALD CT	1	15	0.067	< .001
	2800 BLOCK DEL RIO PL	2	15	0.133	0.007
	2900 BLOCK NOE CT	1	15	0.067	< .001
	3000 BLOCK HIKES LN	2	15	0.133	0.007
	3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	6	15	0.400	0.607
	3500 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD	1	15	0.067	< .001
	GOLDSMITH LN / WILLOW WAY	1	15	0.067	< .001
	MEADOW DR / TERRIER LN	1	15	0.067	< .001

The "other" crimes were:

The "Other" Types of Crime
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
UOR_DESC	ANY NON CRIMINAL CHARGE NOT COVERED BY THESE CODES	1	16	0.063	< .001
	DEATH INVESTIGATION	1	16	0.063	< .001
	DOMESTIC ABUSE DUTIES OF LAW ENFORCEMENT	6	16	0.375	0.454
	INDECENT EXPOSURE - 2ND DEGREE	1	16	0.063	< .001
	LEAVING SCENE OF ACCIDENT/FAILURE TO RENDER AID OR ASSISTANC	2	16	0.125	0.004
	MISSING PERSONS	3	16	0.188	0.021
	NON-CRIMINAL DEATH (NATURAL CAUSES)	1	16	0.063	< .001
	PROPERTY LOST OR ABANDONED NON CRIMINAL	1	16	0.063	< .001

The indecent exposure and death investigation were at 3600 Green Meadows and the leaving the lean of the accident were at Bardstown/Bashford Manor.

Getting to the comparison and listing can be probably illuminated by looking at 3300 Bardstown Road. It had 26 reports up from the 12 reports in July.

Types of Crimes at 3300 Bardstown Rd


Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
CRIME_TYPE	ASSAULT	6	26	0.231	0.009
	DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS	3	26	0.115	< .001
	FRAUD	4	26	0.154	< .001
	MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT	1	26	0.038	< .001
	OTHER	3	26	0.115	< .001
	ROBBERY	1	26	0.038	< .001
	THEFT/LARCENY	7	26	0.269	0.029
	WEAPONS	1	26	0.038	< .001

The Hotel Motel had 10 of the reports up from 3 in July.

Types of police reports at the Hotel/Motel at 3300 Bardstown Rd
Variable	Level	Counts	Total	Proportion	p
UOR_DESC	ASSAULT - 4TH DEGREE (DOMESTIC VIOLENCE) MINOR INJURY	1	10	0.100	0.021
	CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF FORGED INSTRUMENT-3RD DEGREE	1	10	0.100	0.021
	DRUG PARAPHERNALIA - BUY/POSSESS	1	10	0.100	0.021
	OBSCURING THE IDENTITY OF A MACHINE U/$10000	1	10	0.100	0.021
	POSS CONTROLLED SUB 1ST DEGREE 2ND OFF (METHAMPHETAMINE)	1	10	0.100	0.021
	POSS OF MARIJUANA	1	10	0.100	0.021
	POSSESSION OF FIREARM BY CONVICTED FELON	1	10	0.100	0.021
	TBUT OR DISP FROM BLDG $500 OR > BUT < $10,000	1	10	0.100	0.021
	TBUT OR DISP FROM BUILDING < $500	1	10	0.100	0.021
	WANTON ENDANGERMENT-1ST DEGREE	1	10	0.100	0.021

So, overall, there was a 33 percent increase, but we can attribute it to 3300 Bardstown Rd.

One comment on the burglaries. There were three of them. They were at 3200 Stafford, 2300 Terrier Ct, and 3400 Rowena.

The one car theft was at 2300 Terrier Ct. If you have been keeping track of this block, you probably might agree that it has not been a good year for it.

I also hope you join one of the neighborhood associations in your zone but regardless you are welcome to join the Bon Air Neighborhood Association. We are having a general membership meeting tomorrow night (September 13,2021) at 6:30pm at Buechel Park Baptist Church, 2403 Hikes Lane, in the Fellowship Hall. Our scheduled speakers include Major Corey Robinson, of the LMPD 6th District. It is your opportunity to ask questions about what the LMPD is focusing on and seeing in our area.

Otherwise, the Bon Air Neighborhood Association definitely could use your support.

You can send your membership fee to PO Box 34262 Louisville, KY 40201. Or you can pay your dues and join by Paypal by clicking here.

https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=PBPSRSBFU52D8

Wednesday, September 8, 2021

Bon Air Neighborhood Association General Meeting Monday, 9/13/2021 6:30pm Featuring Jefferson County PVA Colleen Younger. (Masks Required)

The last time the Bon Air Neighborhood Association had a face-to-face, general membership meeting was March 9,2020. The Trump impeachment was over and the major news had become Covid-19. \

I remember one guy asked me when he came in, "Is this a good idea?" I honestly thought he may have been right.

I will spare the philosophizing about the last 17 months of life under Covid-19, other than to say, we are going to brave variants Delta, Lambda and Mu and try having another face-to-face meeting on Monday, September 13, 2021, at 6:30pm at Buechel Park Baptist Church, 2403 Hikes Lane.

We have an exciting meeting that hopefully is going to be of interest to the Bon Air Neighborhood.

First, we have the Jefferson County Public Valuation Administrator, Colleen Younger. The re-valuation of houses in the neighborhood has been of great interest on Next Door. She will discuss how she does her job according to Kentucky Revised Statutes.

Then we will have Major Corey Robinson, who is over the LMPD 6th Division. He will discuss what has been happening and the current efforts of LMPD in this area. He will then do Q and A.

Following up will be Jeff Noble. Jeff is the Legislative Assistant to Brent Ackerson, District 26 Metro Council Representative. He will discuss the current governmental concerns are and also do Q and A.

You do not have to be a current member of the Bon Air Neighborhood Association to attend. However to attend you will need to wear a face mask.

I still hear the guy's voice in my head: "Is this a good idea?" I can only say: Why not? No one appeared to catch Covid from the last time we met on March 9, 2020, and

if we only come if we feel good
all wear masks, and
do social distancing,

we should be fine.