Bon Air Crime Analysis for August 2020, with Qualification, there was a Decrease by 55.7 Percent from July!

  This is an analysis for August,2020 based on data posted by the Louisville Metro Police Department  at  https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports

It is a Microsoft Excel CSV file that required some manipulation and sorting and beginning this year it was loaded into JASP, which is an open source statistical package.  This analysis does include events that happen on the edge of the neighborhood.



As usual it includes the crimes reported within the boundaries of the historical Bon Air Neighborhood as defined:
1) Bardstown Road on the West  
2) Hikes Lane on the South
3) Furman Blvd on the East and
4) Taylorsville Rd and the Watterson Expressway on the North. 

The Analysis reflects events that happen on the lines and so some of the reports reflect what has happened just on the line and outside the geopolitical boundary of the neighborhood.  

There were 34 total reports within the boundaries which was a 55.7 percent decrease from July, which had 61 reports. The qualification is that the LMPD's database only had reports through August 25.  This could mean there were no reports for one week or the clerk in charge of compilation was behind. 

As has been typical, the 40218 zip code portion had the most reports:

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
ZIP_CODE		40218		27		34		0.794		< .001
		40220		7		34		0.206		< .001

The Bon Air portion had an overwhelming number of the police reports.

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
ZONE		Bon Air		30		34		0.882		< .001
		Highgate Springs		4		34		0.118		< .001

As usual, the 3300 block of Bardstown Rd was the site of most of the reports.with seven or 20 percent.

It had three (3) other types of crimes that were not particularly distinguishable.  

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
CRIME_TYPE		ASSAULT		1		7		0.143		0.125
		FRAUD		1		7		0.143		0.125
		OTHER		3		7		0.429		1.000
		THEFT/LARCENY		2		7		0.286		0.453

 

Two of the crimes happened at the "Bank"

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
PREMISE_TYPE		BANK / SAVINGS & LOAN		2		7		0.286		0.453
		OTHER / UNKNOWN		1		7		0.143		0.125
		OTHER RESIDENCE (APARTMENT/CONDO)		2		7		0.286		0.453
		PARKING LOT / GARAGE		1		7		0.143		0.125
		RESIDENCE / HOME		1		7		0.143		0.125

Most of the reports were at residences with 14. These were the types of incidents at residences. 

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
CRIME_TYPE		ASSAULT		3		14		0.214		0.057
		BURGLARY		1		14		0.071		0.002
		MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT		1		14		0.071		0.002
		OTHER		5		14		0.357		0.424
		THEFT/LARCENY		2		14		0.143		0.013
		VANDALISM		2		14		0.143		0.013

The most occurring crime report categories were 1)larceny/thefts and 2) other.  Here is where the larceny/thefts were

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
BLOCK_ADDRESS		3100 BLOCK RADIANCE RD		1		8		0.125		0.070
		3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD		2		8		0.250		0.289
		3500 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD		2		8		0.250		0.289
		3500 BLOCK BROCKTON LN		1		8		0.125		0.070
		3700 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD		2		8		0.250		0.289

The other incidents included an overdose, a harassing communication, a runaway from the residential facility, one domestic violence event, and two other undescribed incidents. 

Otherwise, the second occurring crime report in the neighborhood was assault.  Here is where they were

Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
BLOCK_ADDRESS		2800 BLOCK DELL BROOKE AVE		1		6		0.167		0.219
		3000 BLOCK RADIANCE RD		1		6		0.167		0.219
		3100 BLOCK RADIANCE RD		1		6		0.167		0.219
		3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD		1		6		0.167		0.219
		3600 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD		2		6		0.333		0.687

Comments:

Assuming nothing happened the last week of the month, this is excellent news.  Credit is due to homeowners who are investing in doorbell cameras, locking their cars, involved in neighborhood watches and taking other crime prevention measures.  Good crime prevention empowers Louisville's finest in the LMPD to address more serious issues in other areas of the sixth district and metroplex. 

Coming up on September 14, at the Bon Air General Membership meeting via Zoom we will get a report from a representative of LMPD as to what is happening in the area and who can take your questions.  Stay tuned for more information in the next few days.