Sunday, July 26, 2020

You Won't Know if Your Neighbor Bites Until You Go and See If Your Neighbor Bites.

Louisville has been the site of some unprecedented experiences.  I have been thinking about saying something on this blog that would both add to the cohesion and quality of life in the neighborhood and speak to the current social unrest.  I am going to try to do both and it goes like this:

You won't know if your neighbor bites until you go
 and see if your neighbor bites?

As I was going through Kroger today pondering the times we live in and the events of the weekend, it came to me that we are isolating from each other as people and the isolation is proving to estrange us from each other.   I also was pondering the iconic line from Martin Luther King's 1963 speech, 

“I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a
nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin,
but by the content of their character.” 

I have my opinion of NFAC coming to Louisville  and going marching eastbound on Jefferson Street (and I hope they stayed in local hotels and ate at local restaurants to help the economy). As an academic, I also have asked what further purposes the ongoing demonstrations downtown are really serving, but it takes me back to a question I repeatedly asked in MSW school in the early 1990's and my doctoral program back in the early 2000's: what am we supposed to do about it?

Maybe I am doing something by writing this post, and maybe I might just be stirring more drama, and my answer continues to be: 

                                           You won't know if your neighbor bites until you go
                                                        and see if your neighbor bites?

We live in a time where the social unrest is amplified more than escalated because of the unintended social effects of the COVID-19 policies (isolation and shutting down of the economy).  I am not minimizing the deaths of Breonna Taylor and George Floyd among the other distinctive incidents, but I am willing to stick my neck out to make about the statement on the current social unrest by noting that the social distancing has made the social unrest seem more unsolvable. I think that we can begin to address this by going and meeting our neighbors and seeing if our neighbors bite. 

BANA was going to have a "National Night Out" next week for people to meet their neighbors as a way to enhance crime prevention.  The best way to prevent crime in your neighborhood is to know your neighbor.  Which takes me back: Do we know each other?  But the COVID-19 situation makes it seem to be not such a good idea. 

Moving on, I have repeatedly had the conversation with others over the years as a social worker where I have told patients of different ages, you do not know what a person is life unless you talk to them and get to know them.  The color of the skin or gender does not tell you about a person's character, and I go back to 

                                            You won't know if your neighbor bites until you go
                                                        and see if your neighbor bites?

Prior to before COVID-19 the United States and maybe Canada and most modern societies have already been social isolating thanks to our modern conveniences.  We have not necessarily gotten to know our neighbors because we are more interested in locking ourselves in and binge-watching something on any one of several streaming services.    We can do it all in the privacy of our air-conditioned residences.  

However, our sense of convenience doesn't feel as good because we cannot conveniently go out the way we used to in order to do what we want.  The current social unrest is significant but I think that its emotional effect is amplified because we are all isolated from each other thinking our thoughts and losing connection with reality despite being able to see all about it on our screens.

We also do not come to our doors as much because we have doorbell cameras where we can see who is there without coming to the door.  Good for crime prevention, not so much for talking to your neighbor.   However again, we are isolating from each other. 

I do think that the current social unrest will run its course.  I do not have any solutions for those continuing to be out there protesting, because the court system is the court system and due process is not going to be sped up by their blocking NULU or the Second Street Bridge.  My gut tells me that they will continue to protest until life calls them to other tasks, college goes back into session, and maybe media attention moves to the presidential election. 

For the here and now in the Bon Air Neighborhood, I think that the best action we can take is to get out and know each other (wear masks of course) because 

                                           You won't know if your neighbor bites until you go
                                                        and see if your neighbor bites?

 If you are not a social butterfly you can find a little cheat sheet  to help you learn who your neighbors are at  /https://jeffersonpva.ky.gov/ .  Type in your street name in and you can see who owns the other houses on your block.  The limitation is that if the house is a rental, you are going to go in blind, but here is a suggested "script."   

Hello, I'm your neighbor _________________ and I just wanted to meet you.   


That can be the start of the relationship.  You may find that the neighbor is guarded and keeps to themselves or that they have a lot to talk about.  As neighbors are individuals, there is no guarantee you and your neighbor will have anything in common.   But at least you have learned whether your neighbor bites.

In the end the Bon Air Neighborhood is a better place if neighbors know neighbors, and would be doing something on the way to improved race relationships in our area of Louisville. 



 .  











Sunday, July 19, 2020

Bon Air Updates: Not doing the National Night Out. The Dream of the Stage Lives on. Send Jeff Noble Information on Sidewalks that Need Repair

The Board of the Bon Air Neighborhood Association on Monday, July 13,2020 with Jeff Noble, Legislative Aide to Brent Ackerson (practicing good social distancing of course) at El Caporal,

There were several topics discussed of note.

Due to the continued exposure concerns of COVID-19, BANA will not be hosting the National Night Out. 




However, the Farnsley Park stage will live on.  It has been hung up in Parks and Rec for the past nine
months.  Jeff related his and Brent's proposal that some of the Neighborhood Development funds and contract the technical designs and engineering plan to a city contractor. That will get us an estimated price for the project which will allow for more focused fund-raising when the plan is complete.   The board accepted the proposal.  Thanks to Jeff and Brent to the idea.

Jeff also discussed the LDG Development proposal for 507 apartments on the the site of the St Barnabas Parish at 3042 Hikes Lane. Right now it is still owned by the Diocese.  There was a zoom public hearing. It is still in process.




Jeff also asked for people report to him any sidewalks that need repair.  He wants to get them in line for repair.  His email address is jeff.noble@louisvilleky.gov.

Wednesday, July 8, 2020

Bon Air Crime Analysis for June 2020. Up by 50 percent from May

This is an analysis for April, 2020 based on data posted by the Louisville Metro Police Department  at  https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports

It is a Microsoft Excel CSV file that required some manipulation and sorting and beginning this year it was loaded into JASP, which is an open source statistical package.  This analysis does include events that happen on the edge of the neighborhood.




As usual it includes the crimes reported within the boundaries of the historical Bon Air Neighborhood as defined:
1) Bardstown Road on the West  
2) Hikes Lane on the South
3) Furman Blvd on the East and
4) Taylorsville Rd and the Watterson Expressway on the North. 

The Analysis reflects events that happen on the lines and so some of the reports reflect what has happened just on the line and outside the geopolitical boundary of the neighborhood.  

The disappointing matter to report is that police reports were up by 50 percent.  There were 46 reports total for May and 69 reports for June (not including the six missing reports at 2300 Goldsmith Lane/Boys and Girls Haven)


Police Reports by Zip Code

Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
ZIP_CODE
40218
41
69
0.594
0.148
 
40220
28
69
0.406
0.148

As usual, the 40218 portion of the area had more reports with almost 60 percent of the reports. The 40220 section had 40 percent of the reports. 

Police Reports by Zone
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
ZONE
BON AIR
46
69
0.667
0.008
 
HIGHGATE SPRINGS
23
69
0.333
0.008
The Bon Air section had about 67 percent of the reports while Highgate springs had 23 percent of the reports.  The Bon Air Estates section had zero reports. 

Crime Types
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
CRIME_TYPE
ASSAULT
31
69
0.449
0.470
 
BURGLARY
8
69
0.116
< .001
 
DISTURBING THE PEACE
3
69
0.043
< .001
 
DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS
1
69
0.014
< .001
 
FRAUD
1
69
0.014
< .001
 
HOMICIDE
1
69
0.014
< .001
 
MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
1
69
0.014
< .001
 
OTHER
4
69
0.058
< .001
 
ROBBERY
1
69
0.014
< .001
 
THEFT/LARCENY
8
69
0.116
< .001
 
VANDALISM
7
69
0.101
< .001
 
VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT
3
69
0.043
< .001


Assault was the most common police report followed by burglary.  

Where were the reports? 

The 2200 block of Heather Lane had the most police reports of six reports. The 3300 block of Bardstown Rd and 3000 block of Talisman Rd both had five reports.   The 2500 block of Meadow Dr had four reports.  Several locations had three reports.   

It does not mean that there was a high frequency of calls to 2200 Heather Lane.  Actually, there was one incident on June 12 that had six different charges of assaults.   On the other hand, the incidents at 3300 Bardstown Rd happened throughout the month. 

Where Were the Assaults?

LOCATION OF ASSAULTS
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
BLOCK_ADDRESS
2200 BLOCK HEATHER LN
6
31
0.194
< .001
 
2300 BLOCK HEATHER LN
2
31
0.065
< .001
 
2300 BLOCK HIKES LN
2
31
0.065
< .001
 
2500 BLOCK MASEMURE CT
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
2500 BLOCK MEADOW DR
3
31
0.097
< .001
 
2800 BLOCK DELL BROOKE AVE
2
31
0.065
< .001
 
2900 BLOCK HIKES LN
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
3000 BLOCK SOMBER WAY
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
3000 BLOCK TALISMAN RD
2
31
0.065
< .001
 
3200 BLOCK STRATFORD AVE
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK RADIANCE RD
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
3500 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
3600 BLOCK GREEN MEADOWS DR
3
31
0.097
< .001
 
BARDSTOWN RD / BASHFORD MANOR LN
1
31
0.032
< .001
 
TAYLORSVILLE RD AT I264
3
31
0.097
< .001

As was noted the matter of what happened on Heather Lane was on one day at one police call. Otherwise the assaults were spread out over both the Highgate Springs and Bon Air zones. 


Where Were the Burglaries?


LOCATION OF BURGLARIES
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
BLOCK_ADDRESS
2300 BLOCK HEATHER LN
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
2400 BLOCK MEADOW DR
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
2900 BLOCK HIKES LN
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
3000 BLOCK HIKES LN
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
3000 BLOCK SOMBER WAY
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
3300 BLOCK NOE WAY
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
3500 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
8
0.125
0.070
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

Noted that the Burglaries were spread out throughout the neighborhood. It is noted that the quiet street of Somber Way was already getting more than its usual share of action. The reality about Somber Way's showing up in the numbers was actually only one incident on 7/1/2020 in which the burglary and the assault happened at the same time and it was not a pattern.

When Were the Burglaries?
DAYS OF WEEKS BURGLARIES WERE REPORTED
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
Weekday
Friday
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
Monday
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
Saturday
2
8
0.250
0.289
 
Sunday
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
Wednesday
3
8
0.375
0.727


The Burglaries happened at different times of the month. So there does not appear to be a pattern. 

The other topic to discuss was the eight (8) thefts since it was of a significant frequency. They happened in both businesses and residences across the neighborhood and at different times of the month.  It does not appear that there was a pattern. 

Vandalism





Vandalism appears to be making a comeback.  It is summer and it is happening again. 

LOCATIONS OF VANDALISM
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
BLOCK_ADDRESS
2200 BLOCK HIKES LN
2
5
0.400
1.000
 
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
5
0.200
0.375
 
3700 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
5
0.200
0.375
 
3700 BLOCK TAYLORSVILLE RD
1
5
0.200
0.375
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The above picture is from the sound wall north of Commander Dr and Brockton Ln. There appears to be a group that have a made a variety of defacing and some of it is vulgar.  

Other Comments

There was one incident on 6/27/20 that has been called a murder.  It happened at the intersection of Bashford Manor and Bardstown Rd.  It made the media if you are interested 

I suppose that some sociological explanation can be made for the increase in assault calls related to people being stressed by the current state of the world and its stress.  Three of the police calls had more than one particular assault charge filed simultaneously and it looks more significantly numerically than an actual increase in occurrence. 

I am encouraged that the burglaries were not as high as they could be given all of the vagrancy that appears to be occurring around the neighborhood.  
.  
If you are considering a doorbell camera, they are becoming cheaper and readily available on Amazon and Heartland America (It is not a paid endorsement) .  I think that they are a good deterrent.  They can make our neighborhood even more unattractive to would be burglars. 

Otherwise, I have to continue to credit the neighborhood watches being maintained in Brookfield Manor and Bon Air Estates.  They are making a difference in their areas. There were no reports