Bon Air Crime Analysis for January 2020. Reports were up.

This is an analysis for January, 2020 based on data posted by the Louisville Metro Police Department at https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports/resource/6d81fdf8-27e7-41ac-9ae4-1bfd8730f002 

It is a Microsoft Excel file that requires just a touch of manipulation and sorting and beginning this year it was loaded into JASP, which is an open source statistical package.  This analysis does include events that happen on the edge of the neighborhood.  



I am still getting familiar with the JASP package and while it can tabulate things more readily and produce some nice tables and graphics, the nature of this analysis is still rudimentary.

Overall there were 51 reports in the neighborhood.  This is up from 26 reports in December

Crime Reports by Zip Code

Binomial Test
Variable		Level		Counts		Total		Proportion		p
ZIP_CODE		40218		30		51		0.588		0.262
		40220		21		51		0.412		0.262
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5. Type of Crime Reports in Bon Air, January 2020 Binomial Test Variable Level Counts Total Proportion p CRIME_TYPE ASSAULT 7 51 0.137 < .001 BURGLARY 4 51 0.078 < .001 DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS 3 51 0.059 < .001 FRAUD 4 51 0.078 < .001 MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT 4 51 0.078 < .001 OTHER 17 51 0.333 0.024 THEFT/LARCENY 7 51 0.137 < .001 VANDALISM 2 51 0.039 < .001 VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT 3 51 0.059 < .001 Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5. This is a chart of type of crimes per zip code.  Types of Crimes by Zip Code Contingency Tables ZIP_CODE CRIME_TYPE 40218 40220 Total ASSAULT 1 6 7 BURGLARY 3 1 4 DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS 3 0 3 FRAUD 1 3 4 MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT 2 2 4 OTHER 13 4 17 THEFT/LARCENY 4 3 7 VANDALISM 1 1 2 VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT 2 1 3 Total 30 21 51 The other category mostly included 13 missing person reports. Eleven of those were at Boys and Girls Haven.  Again my heart goes out to the staff at Boys and Girls Haven, because the reality of adolescents in residential care is that they often lack a sense of gratitude for a place to stay, but then again they also have trauma and reactive-attachment issues that make it difficult for them to stay in one place. The rest of the "other category was either  related to domestic violence or some other crime.   Regarding the assault reports, six of them were in the apartments on Masemure (just south of  Seneca High School).  The other was in the 2800 block of Hikes Lane (at the intersection of Goldsmith and Hikes).  The motor vehicle thefts happened on the 3500 block of Lisbon Lane, the 3100 block of Radiance, the 2800 block of Dell Brooke, and in the parking lot of a hotel at 3300 Bardstown Road. The Burglaries happened in two locations: a business at 2200 Goldsmith Lane, what appears to be a church on Hikes Lane and a home on Hendon Rd. The thefts/larcenies  were spread out across the neighborhood. No particular pattern seemed worth reporting.  The drug/alcohol violations were all along the west end of the neighborhood. Two of the charges were a day apart at a hotel at 3300 Bardstown Rd. The other report was at the intersection of Hikes Lane and Buechel Bypass. Otherwise, it is a good thing that many of you have doorbell cameras.  They are great deterrents to crime.  The Bon Air Neighborhood Association is still supporting residents who want to organize block watches.  We would be happy to discuss it more at our next meeting at the Bon Air Library on Febuary 10, 2020 at 6:30 pm.