Sunday, March 29, 2020

The Socially Distant Brockton Lane Tree Challenge Part 3, The Antelope and Anxiety #brocktonlanetreechallenge #teamkentucky

On March 15, 2020 I had posted a list of things that could be done in the public spaces around the Bon Air Neighborhood.  
  1. Cleaning around the Bardstown Road Mural (the panhandlers leave their trash)
  2. Cleaning north of the Thorntons on Bardstown Rd 
  3. Clipping the branches along the chain link fence on Brockton Lane on the Taylorsville Rd Ramp (on the Highgate Springs side  of the fence of course)
  4. Cleaning up the trash on Goldsmith Lane around Beargrass Creek south of Seneca High School
  5. Cleaning up Brockton Lane both around Bon Air Estates and Highgate Springs
  6. If you are really ambitious, there is Beargrass Creek between Bardstown Rd and Downing Lane.
  7. For the really stir crazy, there is the Bardstown Road median between Bashford Manor and Hikes Lane (this one also seems the most nerve-racking/risky one, but we will try to do it on 4/18/2020 during Operation Brightside and there will still be a lot of trash)
Well today item number 3 got finished.  On my third Sunday being home and not going to church, I finished the three overgrown trees. 



Smaller tree prior to cutting

Larger Tree Prior to Cutting

The after picture of both trees from a distance. 

While I was cutting up the branches into bundles I got the emergency warning system's message encouraging me to cloister at home.   Should I be encouraging people to still get out in social distancing fashion to do things to improve the neighborhood?  Why not.  We are still not ordered to stay in our homes yet, and if you are wanting to do something, consider getting out there in an appropriate socially distant fashion and clean things up while taking a walk.   Your anxiety level has a chance of being lowered. 

The Antelope and Anxiety

This is where I will don my professional hat.  Anxiety is the number one subject that patients talk about in my groups.  Anxiety disorders are the most commonly diagnosed psychiatric disorders. . Besides talking about washing your hands and maintaining social distance, people are talking about anxiety and I think I am qualified to talk about anxiety as a mental health professional for 25 years so here goes my two cents (well maybe seven cents). 

Anxiety is a normal human emotion.  It is our response to danger.  It is that emotion that signals to get away from someone or something we observe or feel to be dangerous.  I like to call it our "safety emotion" because it sends the message

 "You want to live don't you?" 

We all get anxious.  It is normal and perhaps even helpful as the Chinese proverb says 

A little anxiety helps to focus the mind but too much paralyzes it. 

Anxiety tells people that something is a big deal and to pay attention and be cautious in situations such as tests and driving on rainy or snowy days. So, it serves a helpful purpose in our lives. 

However, anxiety fosters concrete thinking and can make us feel and act as if we are in a tunnel.  With people being forced to stay at home, and getting a deluge of COVID19 information and having other struggles with losing of jobs and concerns over whether we will have enough and whether we will be able to pay the bills, the anxiety can really add up. 

We are not rational people when it comes to anxiety but managing it requires us to be a little more rational about it and try to step outside of it and understand it a little bit more.

Anxiety is Physical

As mentioned Anxiety is an emotion or an energy in motion.  When we feel anxiety it stimulates the production of Adrenalin, which in turn stimulates the body to get ready to run.  This includes: 
  • Our muscles get tense,
  • Our respiration increases,
  • Our pulse increases
  • Our digestion system goes into action, and
  • Blood goes to our skin.  

Anxiety has different levels of intensity

It is important to note that there are different levels of anxiety that we get for different reasons.  


However, it serves to note that anxiety can compound and escalate.  We can move from feeling uncomfortable to insecure and up to panic.   Anxiety is generally based on what is important to us and how long we dwell on something. 

Aaron Beck, the founder of Cognitive Behavioral Therapy discussed several negative or distorted thought patterns or types of thoughts that contribute to both higher depression and anxiety.  For our purposes here, the one distorted thought pattern that fits our current situation is the 

"Negative Mental Filter."


A negative mental filter colors and distorts the way we see everything.  At times some of these negative filters are reality-based.   Personally, when I was diagnosed with a brain tumor in May, 1996 and told that I would have surgery to remove it on June 14, 1996, I dealt with a true negative mental filter as I stressed about whether I was going to leave my wife a widow and most all of my thinking was around whether or not I was going to live to the extent that I wrote my first will and cleaned my desk at work as if I was never coming back.  I just could not see beyond June 14,1996. 

COVID19 is also a negative mental filter, but it is of the institutionalized kind where our whole society is organized around it these days and it is hard to see beyond it.    You name it and it has been affected, canceled, postponed or closed down.   Furthermore, we are confined to our homes and anything that has to do with people congregating together is discouraged or has been canceled. We are stuck in our residences looking hearing, and thinking about COVID19 all the time. COVID19 also has affected people's livelihoods and whether or not they will have what they need.  This leads to the story about the antelope that I read in Hinduism/Buddhism class in college that fits this situation:

A Hindu disciple went to his guru and asked, "How can I know Shiva?" 

The guru sent him into a small room and told him to meditate on the antelope and to stay in there until the guru told him that he could come out.

The disciple complied but came to the door of the room a few times and asked to come out.  The guru asked: "Have you been meditating on the antelope?"

The student said, "Yes." 

The guru said "Stay in there.  You have not done it enough." 

At the end of seven days the guru came to the door of the room and said to the disciple, "You can come out now." 

The disciple said, "I can't come out because my antlers will not fit through the door."

The guru said, you are now on your way. Start meditating in Shiva in the same way. 

I find that the story illustrates that we can brainwash ourselves into higher levels of anxiety all the way up to paralytic panic when we dwell on the same negative mental filters and other stresses every day.  

I have found that many of my patients over my career with panic attacks had them when they were alone late at night and they were dwelling on their problems; they tended to brainwash themselves that the worst is absolutely going to happen to them.   

Worry is that form of anxiety that can be that antelope and we feel it when we dwell on problems that
  • Are not solvable in that moment
  • Belong to someone else but that we try to own or that
  • We imagine could happen to us or someone else.  

So with that in mind, to keep us from brainwashing ourselves into be being paralyzed and panic my suggested strategy starts with an affirmation written by the late Wayne Dyer.
  • My feelings come from my thoughts
  • I can control my thoughts
  • Therefore I can control my feelings.

By getting our minds on something else and doing something else we can likely reduce our anxiety.  When we dwell on our stresses we are going to feel anxiety.

By distracting our minds regularly with stuff other than Covid19 and all of the "steps" that government officials are ordering we can reduce our anxiety . . . I did not say eliminate it.  It is okay if you are not perfectly coping with our current situation, coping is not an all or nothing matter, but if we get through our days without panic attacks, and we can get to sleep at night and have our daily needs met we will be okay.

There are a ton of strategies we use in Cognitive Behavioral Therapy to get people to think differently, but a common technique for distracting our minds has been the Serenity Prayer by Reinhold Niebuhr that is promoted in AA and other 12 step groups:

God, grant me the serenity
to accept the things I cannot change,
the courage to change the things I can,
and the wisdom to know the difference.
Living one day at a time,
enjoying one moment at a time;
accepting hardship as a pathway to peace;
taking, as Jesus did,
this sinful world as it is,
not as I would have it;
trusting that You will make all things right
if I surrender to Your will;
so that I may be reasonably happy in this life
and supremely happy with You forever in the next.

Amen.
This has been a long post, so I will close with saying that there are many more resources online these days if you are interested in reading about managing anxiety. There are numerous mental health resources in Louisville too if you are feeling overwhelmed.

 But if you live in the Bon Air Neighborhood and feel the need just to get out of the house and lessen your anxiety by getting active, there are six other tasks on the list that can be excellent distractions in a socially distancing manner to help you manage your anxiety and I would love a before and after picture if you do one of the list (remember safety equipment if you do).   

.  





















Wednesday, March 25, 2020

The Socially Distant Brockton Lane Tree Challenge Part 2 #brocktonlanetreechallenge

On March 15, 2020 I had posted a list of things that could be done in the public spaces around the Bon Air Neighborhood.  
  1. Cleaning around the Bardstown Road Mural (the panhandlers leave their trash)
  2. Cleaning north of the Thorntons on Bardstown Rd 
  3. Clipping the branches along the chain link fence on Brockton Lane on the Taylorsville Rd Ramp (on the Highgate Springs side  of the fence of course)
  4. Cleaning up the trash on Goldsmith Lane around Beargrass Creek south of Seneca High School
  5. Cleaning up Brockton Lane both around Bon Air Estates and Highgate Springs
  6. If you are really ambitious, there is Beargrass Creek between Bardstown Rd and Downing Lane.
  7. For the really stir crazy, there is the Bardstown Road median between Bashford Manor and Hikes Lane (this one also seems the most nerve-racking/risky one, but we will try to do it on 4/18/2020 during Operation Brightside and there will still be a lot of trash).
On Sunday, 3/22/20, I worked again on item #3.   There is a bit of a fun story to go with it. 

The next tree to be addressed was the one at the T-intersection of Rosedale Blvd and Brockton. 
This is the tree before I went at it:


This is the after: 


The job took me about three hours from clipping the branches from the tree, and cutting them down to semi-regulation size and bundling them for city yard waste.  I very much enjoyed listening to KFI-AM Los Angeles in my earbud on a certain smart phone app while I worked.  Mind you the newscasts made me feel a little more mindful of how much better things were in Kentucky in terms of COVID19, but to listen to something different while I worked stretched my mind to think about other things. 

Out of safety I dragged the branches across the street from the tree and cut them down to size in the easement between the street and the sidewalk.  Then the  drama of the afternoon came to life.

A guy in a Subaru stopped and drove up and said in what I felt was a demanding tone:  "We own this building.  Where did this brush come from?" 

I pointed to the tree "From that tree right there."

He said with a tone of voice that I apprised as curt, annoyed and potentially intimidating, "An apartment manager will come to talk to you."

I tested out my smartphone intellect and looked up on the Jefferson PVA site who owned the building.  (It was a LLC based in the 40223 zip code).   I then looked at the Secretary of Website to 
see who were the officers of this LLC,  I got ready for the apartment manager to come so I could drop the owner's first name with some bravado.  (My plan was to say "Oh, your're W-----'s apartment manager.  He said you would be coming.")   

Towards the end of the job, two smiling people did stop.  I got out the first sentence of my practiced line.   Neither of them were his employee.    They were just people who had been looking at moving to the neighborhood.  It was an opportunity to tell them how long I have lived in the neighborhood and what a great of a place it is to live, and how safe it is to live in (even with the police-involved shooting event on Talisman today).

In the end, I spread the four bundles of branches in the easements across the three adjacent apartment houses for city yard waste pick-up.  I thought it would be thoughtful of the guy in the Subaru and maybe reduce his defensiveness when I or someone else comes by in two more years to trim the trees again. 

Well, someone who likes to cut wood can go attack the next overgrown trees where Hendon Road becomes Brockton, otherwise weather permitting I will attack the last couple of trees next week. They are in the state's right of way and in my 20 years, they don't get cut unless me or some other resident does it. 

I have written this post to put my money where my mouth is and not to show off or make a scene of what I have done. I personally felt pleasantly tired after the job and I had an intrinsic sense of satisfaction that I hopefully prevented cars from getting scratched by trees on Brockon Lane--especially mine. 

You are very welcome to attack something on the list that interests you.  If you do, it is recommended that you use proper protection such gloves and/or boots if you are going to pick up trash around Beargrass Creek or other waterways, but it is a strong show of civic pride to clean up your community, while taking a break from the repetitive news on radio, TV and social media.  

 If you are reading this from outside the Bon Air Neighborhood, consider making a list of what needs to get done in your neighborhood's public spaces and consider going and doing it. I bet you will be a sense of satisfaction and less stress because you were not stuck in your home thinking the same thoughts.   

If you do something, please take a before and after picture and post it on the Bon Air Neighborhood Facebook page or your own facebook page and hashtag it #brocktonlanetreechallenge 

Monday, March 23, 2020

Consider A Bon Air Restaurant for Take Out

Tonight we finally took Governor Brashear's advice to go get takeout to support restaurants and we stayed local with our long-time favorite, El Caporal at 2209 Meadow Lane.  Let me say this up front: they are not paying me or compensating me for this plug.


We discovered it early in 2000 when we moved to the neighborhood. It has been a very consistent authentic Mexican restaurant over 20 years. I do not have one particular special to recommend, because it is all good.but I would say get both the mild and spicy salsa.



You can go online to see the menu, or you can call and give your order.   Here is the link to the menu: www.mycaporal.com.   Right now they are only allowing four people in the restaurant at one time, but they had the order ready when they said it.

The other local restaurant that is a definite recommendation to go to if you haven't is MiSueno, a Cuban Restaurant, right next door to El Caporal at 3425 Bardstown Rd.   I confess that I have not gone as much as I would have liked because I am the only one in the family that would eat Cuban more often.  I recommend the Empanadas, Potato Balls and Croquettes.  Their drive through is open or you can get on GrubHub or delivery.  Their menu is on Grub Hub.  Click here to see it.

Other Mentions

Of course if you are in need of a fish fix on Friday there is a Moby Dick in the Bardstown Square.

If you are in need of a Asian fix there are two local restaurants: there is the Chamling Kitchen and Bar 2249 Hikes Lane.  But our family's go to is the China One, which is a take out restaurant next to the Buechel Bypass.  They are closed on Mondays.  (I recommend the chicken sticks).  Here is their menu    

I hope that you found this information useful and I hope that you patronize our local, mom and pop restaurants. They are good.

  

Sunday, March 22, 2020

Bon Air Housing Values: Comparing the Value of the Rentals versus the Owner Occupied.

This is the sixth in a series of posts about housing values in the historic Bon Air Neighborhood.as defined by the following boundaries: Furman Blvd on the east, Hikes Lane on the south, Bardstown Road on the East, and the Watterson Expressway/Taylorsville Rd on the North.

The database for this research was created from the Jefferson County Property Valuation Administrator (PVA) website and the Lojic.org website.  Both have similar data, but the PVA site could be pasted into an Excel file. The database was compiled between February 2019 and December 2019. The information was subject to some change based on property sales and re-evaluations.



The statistical software that is being used for the analysis is JASP which is an open source program created by the University of Amsterdam.

Some more adjustments were made to the database.  I will admit here that I was missing Johnston Way in the original database.  I realized that after someone made a comment from a reader on Johnston Way.  Overall, I do not think that the addition dramatically changed the overall values, it did up the number of rental houses in Bon Air to 238 units.  

Today, instead of looking at who are the landlords of single family rentals, I thought that I would compare the value of rentals with owner occupied houses.  The JASP package allows blocking certain values and the distinction of values can be determined. 

First, the following table depicts the values of rental houses and houses that are included in this category due to being owned by trusts. 


The middle value is $122710 and the mean is slightly higher at $122976.   The Maximum value happens to be a house owned by a trust, and may not necessarily be a rental. 

The following is the analysis for owner-occupied housing.



The median for owner-occupied housing is about $13000 higher than that for the rentals, and the mean is just a little bit higher. It is interesting that the range of values is bigger than that of the rentals. 

This fits with previous research about owner-occupied versus rental housing in a neighborhood. Rental properties do have lower values than owner-occupied.   On the one hand the rationale in the research is that owner-occupied housing is better cared for and thus merits higher value.  I see conversely that a landlord is in the rental business for profit, and if you can save money on paying less property tax.  



Sunday, March 15, 2020

The Socially Distant Brockton Lane Tree Challenge

There are all kinds of interesting, silly, and even dangerous internet challenges.  In light of that, I thought about it and I am throwing my hat into the ring and calling for the "Socially Distant Public Service Challenge" in this time of fear over the Covid19 Outbreak. 

I would not mind for this to go viral because our mental health could go next. Getting out of your house and doing something could help you keep your sanity if not reduce your ruminating over the next news alert on cable news.

I had posted a list of things that could be done in the public spaces around the Bon Air Neighborhood earlier today. 
  1. Cleaning around the Bardstown Road Mural (the panhandlers leave their trash)
  2. Cleaning north of the Thorntons on Bardstown Rd 
  3. Clipping the branches along the chain link fence on Brockton Lane on the Taylorsville Rd Ramp (on the Highgate Springs side  of the fence of course)
  4. Cleaning up the trash on Goldsmith Lane around Beargrass Creek south of Seneca High School
  5. Cleaning up Brockton Lane both around Bon Air Estates and Highgate Springs
  6. If you are really ambitious, there is Beargrass Creek between Bardstown Rd and Downing Lane.
  7. For the really stir crazy, there is the Bardstown Road median between Bashford Manor and Hikes Lane (this one also seems the most nerve-racking/risky one, but we will try to do it on 4/18/2020 during Operation Brightside and there will still be a lot of trash).

I had to do something after having gone through Walmart, Kroger, Costco, and even Meijer today and seeing the "there's a hurricane coming" consumerism.   I started attacking item number three on the list. I cut the branches on the overgrown tree in front of 3522 Brockton Lane.

Before 



After



I cut up the branches into near regulation size and tied them up in a bundle and put them in front of 3522 and 3520 for the city to pick up on the next pickup day. For awhile there will be one less tree scratching passing cars on Brockton Lane--especially mine. . 

There are two more trees if anyone has the clippers and the time to attack.   This one is where Rosedale Blvd ends into Brockton. 


This one is in front of 3540 Brockton Lane. You can tell how it especially protrudes into the street where a car can get scratched by it, especially if two cars are passing. 



If you decide to do anything of the list, especially clipping the trees let us know by posting on Facebook or Next Door with a picture.   Your neighborhood thanks you. 

To make this a challenge, take a picture of before the project and after the project.  If you are doing it outside of Louisville KY, post it online to your social network and then challenge someone else to get something done in a public space that sorely needs attention.

One more thing suggested by "Jaki," a nurse in the Bon Air Neighborhood,  "Could you please remind people to be cautious, use appropriate personal protective equipment, and educate themselves on potential hazardous materials." That's a good point Jaki.








Yeah, We Met . . . and What Can We Do Next Given Covid19?

The Bon Air Neighborhood General Membership meeting did go on as scheduled on March 9, 2020 at Buechel Park Baptist Church. It was a relatively short meeting. There were not many questions for either Louisville Metro Council Representative Brent Ackerson or LMPD Officer George McMillian.   There were 17 of us who attended.





We also got to meet Daniel Gossberg, who is running in the primary against Tom Burch for State Representative in District 30.  He was brave enough to show so I will give him mention.



Upon entering the Fellowhip Hall, one on my long time acquaintances did not mince words when he asked me, "Isn't this a stupid idea?"  I did not know what exactly to say.  

I do not blame anyone who did not want to attend because of the Covid19 fear.  So far  . . . six days later . . . from what I can tell, there has been no report of Covid19 transmission based on attendance at the meeting or within the Bon Air Neighborhood for that manner on account of the meeting . . . so far (did I say that again?)

Anyway, in this national emergency where we are kept from gathering together and from watching our seasonal traditions of March Madness we risk what I will call 9-11-itis, which is the depression from the repetitive negative news.  Our emails, newsfeeds, and televisions will be full of stories about Covid19.  

If you are not already tired of trying to stay up with the news, you will be, because there will be a point . . . if we are not already there where what is on is nothing more than repetition. It will stop being of any practical use and will be depressing    I think 9-11-itis can be worse in this day because of social media will repeat it more often and more frequently through memes and all other 

In Salem Indiana, right after 9-11, a bunch of people in the community volunteered to put up a playground project that was already in progress because they were tired of the depressive repetition they were feeling from the news channels.  It got done quicker (probably cheaper) and was a thing of beauty. 

We don't have any playground projects that are shovel-ready like in Salem,  but we do have a lot of clean up and spruce up that could be done during the nice days where we are supposed to stay away from each other.  In driving around I saw some stuff and I would like to suggest the following areas that could use  attention:
  1. Cleaning around the Bardstown Road Mural (the panhandlers leave their trash)
  2. Cleaning north of the Thorntons on Bardstown Rd 
  3. Clipping the branches along the chain link fence on Brockton Lane on the Taylorsville Rd Ramp (on the Highgate Springs side  of the fence of course)
  4. Cleaning up the trash on Goldsmith Lane around Beargrass Creek south of Seneca High School
  5. Cleaning up Brockton Lane both around Bon Air Estates and Highgate Springs
  6. If you are really ambitious, there is Beargrass Creek between Bardstown Rd and Downing Lane.
  7. For the really stir crazy, there is the Bardstown Rod median between Bashford Manor and Hikes Lane (this one also seems the most nerve-racking/risky one, but we will try to do it on 4/18/2020 during Operation Brightside and there will still be a lot of trash).

I myself will try to get out there and do some of this but there is no race or competition here, but this is an opportunity to do something good and make a worthwhile contribution.  










Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Bon Air Crime Analysis for February 2020. Reports are Slightly Down.

This is an analysis for February, 2020 based on data posted by the Louisville Metro Police Department at https://data.louisvilleky.gov/dataset/crime-reports/resource/6d81fdf8-27e7-41ac-9ae4-1bfd8730f002 

It is a Microsoft Excel CSV file that requires some manipulation and sorting and beginning this year it was loaded into JASP, which is an open source statistical package.  This analysis does include events that happen on the edge of the neighborhood.




As usual it includes the crimes reported within the boundaries of the historical Bon Air Neighborhood as defined:
1) Bardstown Road on the West  
2) Hikes Lane on the South
3) Furman Blvd on the East and
4) Taylorsville Rd and the Watterson Expressway on the North. 

The Analysis reflects events that happen on the lines and so some of the reports reflect what has happened just on the line and outside the geopolitical boundary of the neighborhood.   

The missing person reports at the 2300 block of Goldsmith Lane were removed. Otherwise, there were 46 reports within the boundaries.   There were 28 reports in the 40218 portion and 18 in the 40220 area. 


Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
ZIP_CODE
40218
28
46
0.609
 
40220
18
46
0.391
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The following table shows the days of the week and what types of crimes were reported:

DAYS OF THE WEEK AND TYPES OF CRIME
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
WEEKDAY
FRIDAY
6
46
0.130
< .001
 
MONDAY
7
46
0.152
< .001
 
SATURDAY
7
46
0.152
< .001
 
SUNDAY
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
THURSDAY
8
46
0.174
< .001
 
TUESDAY
9
46
0.196
< .001
 
WEDNESDAY
6
46
0.130
< .001
CRIME_TYPE
ASSAULT
12
46
0.261
0.002
 
BURGLARY
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
FRAUD
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
4
46
0.087
< .001
 
OTHER
9
46
0.196
< .001
 
THEFT/LARCENY
7
46
0.152
< .001
 
VANDALISM
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT
5
46
0.109
< .001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

Tuesday was the day when the most police calls were made.  The most frequent type crime was assault.  The "other" reports included one domestic-violence report, but were otherwise the serving of a MIW and two missing person reports. 

The most common place for crime/police reports were residents. 


LOCATIONS OF POLICE REPORTS

Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
PREMISE_TYPE
COMMERCIAL / OFFICE BUILDING
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
CONVENIENCE STORE
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
CYBERSPACE
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
DEPARTMENT / DISCOUNT STORE
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
GROCERY / SUPERMARKET
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
HIGHWAY / ROAD / ALLEY
5
46
0.109
< .001
 
HOTEL / MOTEL / ETC.
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
OTHER / UNKNOWN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
OTHER RESIDENCE (APARTMENT/CONDO)
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
PARKING LOT / GARAGE
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
RESIDENCE / HOME
21
46
0.457
0.659
 
RESTAURANT
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
SCHOOL - ELEMENTARY / SECONDARY
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
SERVICE / GAS STATION
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
SPECIALTY STORE (TV, FUR, ETC)
2
46
0.043
< .001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The block addresses of the crime reports are in the following table.  The 2700 block of Hikes Lane and the 3600 block of Stanton Blvd had the most reports with three each. 


Block Addresses of Crimes in Residences February 2020

Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
BLOCK_ADDRESS
2200 BLOCK BASHFORD MANOR LN
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
2300 BLOCK TERRIER CT
2
21
0.095
< .001
 
2700 BLOCK HIKES LN
3
21
0.143
0.001
 
2700 BLOCK MAXON DR
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
2800 BLOCK MEADOW DR
2
21
0.095
< .001
 
2800 BLOCK ROSALEE AVE
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3000 BLOCK TALISMAN RD
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3200 BLOCK ALLISON WAY
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3200 BLOCK WELLINGMOOR AVE
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK TERRIER LN
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3500 BLOCK GOLDSMITH LN
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3500 BLOCK RAMONA AVE
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3600 BLOCK GREEN MEADOWS DR
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
3600 BLOCK STANTON BLVD
3
21
0.143
0.001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The reports at 3600 Stanton Blvd were all on one day and were domestic disturbance/violence issues. Also, the three reports at 2700 Hikes lane were simultaneously made at one time and appear to be part of one event at a residence.  

Assaults were the most common type of police reports made at residences.


Crime types in Bon Air Residences February 2020
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
CRIME_TYPE
ASSAULT
8
21
0.381
0.383
 
BURGLARY
2
21
0.095
< .001
 
MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
OTHER
5
21
0.238
0.027
 
THEFT/LARCENY
2
21
0.095
< .001
 
VANDALISM
1
21
0.048
< .001
 
VEHICLE BREAK-IN/THEFT
2
21
0.095
< .001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.


The assaults happened at the following locations of residences. 


Block Addresses of the Assaults in Bon Air Residences

Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
BLOCK_ADDRESS
2300 BLOCK TERRIER CT
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
2700 BLOCK HIKES LN
2
8
0.250
0.289
 
2800 BLOCK MEADOW DR
2
8
0.250
0.289
 
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
8
0.125
0.070
 
3600 BLOCK STANTON BLVD
2
8
0.250
0.289
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The 3300 block of Bardstown Road continues to be the location of the most police reports in the neighborhood with 10 reports. 


POLICE REPORTS BY ADDRESS

Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
BLOCK_ADDRESS
2200 BLOCK BASHFORD MANOR LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2200 BLOCK GERALD CT
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2200 BLOCK GOLDSMITH LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2200 BLOCK HEATHER LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2200 BLOCK HIKES LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2300 BLOCK TERRIER CT
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
2700 BLOCK HIKES LN
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
2700 BLOCK MAXON DR
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2800 BLOCK DEL RIO PL
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
2800 BLOCK MEADOW DR
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
2800 BLOCK ROSALEE AVE
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
2900 BLOCK HIKES LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3000 BLOCK TALISMAN RD
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3200 BLOCK ALLISON WAY
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3200 BLOCK WELLINGMOOR AVE
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
10
46
0.217
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK FURMAN BLVD
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3300 BLOCK TERRIER LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3400 BLOCK BARDSTOWN RD
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3500 BLOCK BROCKTON LN
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3500 BLOCK GOLDSMITH LN
2
46
0.043
< .001
 
3500 BLOCK RAMONA AVE
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3600 BLOCK GREEN MEADOWS DR
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
3600 BLOCK STANTON BLVD
3
46
0.065
< .001
 
3700 BLOCK TAYLORSVILLE RD
1
46
0.022
< .001
 
BARDSTOWN RD AT I264
2
46
0.043
< .001
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The JASP software does allow sectioning out variables by value and so it was possible to narrow what happened there.  In this case the events at 3300 Bardstown were combined with 2200 Goldsmith Lane and I-264 since it is a unified business area.

Police Reports at 2200 Goldsmith Ln/3300 Bardstown Rd/I-264
Binomial Test
Variable
Level
Counts
Total
Proportion
p
CRIME_TYPE
ASSAULT
1
13
0.077
0.003
 
DRUGS/ALCOHOL VIOLATIONS
2
13
0.154
0.022
 
FRAUD
2
13
0.154
0.022
 
MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
3
13
0.231
0.092
 
OTHER
2
13
0.154
0.022
 
THEFT/LARCENY
3
13
0.231
0.092
PREMISE_TYPE
CONVENIENCE STORE
2
13
0.154
0.022
 
CYBERSPACE
1
13
0.077
0.003
 
DEPARTMENT / DISCOUNT STORE
1
13
0.077
0.003
 
HIGHWAY / ROAD / ALLEY
2
13
0.154
0.022
 
HOTEL / MOTEL / ETC.
2
13
0.154
0.022
 
PARKING LOT / GARAGE
1
13
0.077
0.003
 
RESIDENCE / HOME
1
13
0.077
0.003
 
SERVICE / GAS STATION
1
13
0.077
0.003
 
SPECIALTY STORE (TV, FUR, ETC)
2
13
0.154
0.022
Note.  Proportions tested against value: 0.5.

The reports were spread out among premise types and crime types.  There is no one pattern that appears to stick out.

I have anecdotal information that a car window was shot out on Lisbon but there was no police report in the database. 

The Bon Air Neighborhood Association continues to promote the idea of Neighborhood Watches.  They appear to be quite effective where they are active.  We will bring up the topic at our General Membership Meeting on Monday, March 9, 2020 at 6:30 pm at Buechel Park Baptist Church, 2403 Hikes Lane.  .